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Publications:  Prof Peter Congdon

Congdon P(2020). The Upstream Environment for the Obesity Epidemic. Obesity and Diabetes,
Curtis S, Cunningham N, Pearce J, Congdon P, Cherrie M, Atkinson S(2020). Trajectories in mental health and socio-spatial conditions in a time of economic recovery and austerity: a longitudinal study in England 2011-17. Social Science & Medicine
Congdon P(2020). Geographical aspects of recent trends in drugrelated deaths, with a focus on intra-national contextual variation. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 17, (21) 1-18.
Congdon P(2020). A diabetes risk index for small areas in England. Health and Place vol. 63,
Congdon P(2020). Modelling spatially varying coefficients via sparsity priors. Model Assisted Statistics and Applications vol. 15, (2) 99-109.
Congdon P(2020). Assessing persistence in spatial clustering of disease, with an application to drug related deaths in scottish neighbourhoods. Epidemiology Biostatistics and Public Health vol. 16, (4)
Curtis S, Congdon P, Atkinson S, Corcoran R, MaGuire R, Peasgood T(2020). Adverse conditions for wellbeing at the neighbourhood scale in England: Potential and challenges for operationalising indicators relevant to wellbeing in and of places. Wellbeing Space and Society vol. 1,
Baptista H, Congdon P, Mendes JM, Rodrigues AM, Canhão H, Dias SS(2020). Disease mapping models for data with weak spatial dependence or spatial discontinuities. Epidemiologic Methods vol. 9, (1)
Bagheri N, Batterham PJ, Salvador-Carulla L, Chen Y, Page A, Calear AL, Congdon P(2019). Development of the Australian neighborhood social fragmentation index and its association with spatial variation in depression across communities. Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology vol. 54, (10) 1189-1198.
Congdon P(2019). Geographical patterns in drug-related mortality and suicide: Investigating commonalities in english small areas. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 16, (10)
Congdon P(2019). Obesity and urban environments. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 16, (3)
Congdon P(2018). Spatial heterogeneity in Bayesian disease mapping. GeoJournal
Zhao JH, Luan J, Congdon P(2018). Bayesian linear mixed models with polygenic effects. Journal of Statistical Software vol. 85,
Congdon P(2017). Quantile regression for overdispersed count data: a hierarchical method. Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications vol. 4, (1)
Congdon P(2017). Variations in Obesity Rates between US Counties: Impacts of Activity Access, Food Environments, and Settlement Patterns. Int J Environ Res Public Health vol. 14, (9) Article E1023,
Jonker MF, D'Ippolito E, Eikemo TA, Congdon PD, Nante N, Mackenbach JP, Kamphuis CBM(2017). The effect of regional politics on regional life expectancy in Italy (1980-2010). Scand J Public Health vol. 45, (2) 121-131.
Congdon P(2017). Representing spatial dependence and spatial discontinuity in ecological epidemiology: a scale mixture approach. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment vol. 31, (2) 291-304.
Congdon P(2017). Lyle D. Broemeling. BAYESIAN METHODS FOR REPEATED MEASURES. Boca Raton: Chapman & Hall/CRC Press, 568 pages, ISBN 978-1-4822-4819-7. Biometrical Journal
Congdon P(2016). Spatiotemporal frameworks for infectious disease diffusion and epidemiology. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 13, (12)
Congdon P(2016). Assessing Impacts on Unplanned Hospitalisations of Care Quality and Access Using a Structural Equation Method: With a Case Study of Diabetes. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 13, (9)
Congdon P(2016). A local join counts methodology for spatial clustering in disease from relative risk models. Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods vol. 45, (10) 3059-3075.
Schofield P, Das-Munshi J, Mathur R, Congdon P, Hull S(2016). Does depression diagnosis and antidepressant prescribing vary by location? Analysis of ethnic density associations using a large primary-care dataset. Psychological Medicine vol. 46, (6) 1321-1329.
Congdon P(2016). Explaining variations in obesity and inactivity between US metropolitan areas. GeoJournal vol. 81, (2) 211-229.
Congdon P(2016). Area variations in multiple morbidity using a life table methodology. Health Serv Outcomes Res Methodol vol. 16, 58-74.
Congdon P(2015). Spatial variation in attributable risks. Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology vol. 12, Article C, 39-52.
Congdon P(2014). Modelling changes in small area disability free life expectancy: trends in London wards between 2001 and 2011. Stat Med vol. 33, (29) 5138-5150.
Congdon P(2014). Modelling changes in Arctic Sea Ice Cover: an application of generalized and inflated beta and gamma densities. Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications vol. 1, (1)
Congdon P(2014). Bayesian Statistics in Quantitative Risk Assessment. Wiley StatsRef: Statistics Reference Online,
Andreon S, Congdon P(2014). The insignificant evolution of the richness-mass relation of galaxy clusters. ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS vol. 568, Article ARTN A23,
Congdon P(2014). Applied Bayesian Modelling: Second Edition.
Congdon P(2014). Interpolation between spatial frameworks: an application of process convolution to estimating neighbourhood disease prevalence. Stat Methods Med Res vol. 23, (2) 169-182.
Congdon P(2014). Estimating Life Expectancy in Small Areas, with an Application to Recent Changes in Life Expectancy in US Counties. Mortality in an International Perspective, Editors: Anson, J, Luy, M, Springer Science & Business Media
Congdon P(2014). Bayesian spatial statistical modeling. Handbook of Regional Science,
Congdon P(2014). Estimating life expectancies for US small areas: a regression framework. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SYSTEMS vol. 16, (1) 1-18.
Congdon P(2013). Spatially interpolated disease prevalence estimation using collateral indicators of morbidity and ecological risk. Int J Environ Res Public Health vol. 10, (10) 5011-5025.
Jonker MF, Congdon PD, van Lenthe FJ, Donkers B, Burdorf A, Mackenbach JP(2013). Small-area health comparisons using health-adjusted life expectancies: A Bayesian random-effects approach. HEALTH & PLACE vol. 23, 70-78.
Congdon P(2013). Modelling small-area inequality in premature mortality using years of life lost rates. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SYSTEMS vol. 15, (2) 149-167.
Congdon P(2013). Forecasting demand for regional health care. International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, vol. 206,
Jonker MF, van Lenthe FJ, Donkers B, Congdon PD, Burdorf A, Mackenbach JP(2013). The impact of nursing homes on small-area life expectancies. HEALTH & PLACE vol. 19, 25-32.
Congdon P(2012). Assessing the impact of socioeconomic variables on small area variations in suicide outcomes in England. Int J Environ Res Public Health vol. 10, (1) 158-177.
Congdon P(2012). Latent variable model for suicide risk in relation to social capital and socio-economic status. Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol vol. 47, (8) 1205-1219.
Jonker MF, van Lenthe FJ, CONGDON PD, Donkers B, Burdorf A, Mackenbach JP(2012). Comparison of Bayesian Random-Effects and Traditional Life Expectancy Estimations in Small-Area Applications. American Journal of Epidemiology vol. 176, (10) 929-937.
Congdon P(2012). Spatial Health Factors with Selection Among Multiple Causes: Lung Cancer in US Counties. COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-THEORY AND METHODS vol. 41, (11) 1933-1953.
Congdon P(2011). The Spatial Pattern of Suicide in the US in Relation to Deprivation, Fragmentation and Rurality. URBAN STUD vol. 48, (10) 2101-2122.
Congdon P(2011). Spatial path models with multiple indicators and multiple causes: mental health in US counties. Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol vol. 2, (2) 103-116.
CONGDON P(2011). A spatial random-effects model for interzone flows: commuting in Northern Ireland. Journal of Applied Statistics
Congdon P(2011). Explaining the Spatial Pattern of Suicide and Self-Harm Rates: A Case Study of East and South East England. APPLIED SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND POLICY vol. 4, (1) 23-43.
Congdon P, Lloyd P(2011). Toxocara infection in the United States: the relevance of poverty, geography and demography as risk factors, and implications for estimating county prevalence. Int J Public Health vol. 56, (1) 15-24.
Congdon P(2011). Structural equation models for area health outcomes with model selection. J APPL STAT vol. 38, (4) 745-767.
Congdon P(2010). A multiple indicator, multiple cause method for representing social capital with an application to psychological distress. J GEOGR SYST vol. 12, (1) 1-23.
Congdon P(2010). A Multilevel Model for Comorbid Outcomes: Obesity and Diabetes in the US. INT J ENV RES PUB HE vol. 7, (2) 333-352.
Congdon P(2010). A spatial structural equation model with an application to area health needs. J STAT COMPUT SIM vol. 80, (4) 401-412.
Congdon P(2010). Assessing Differential Area Mortality Trends via Bayesian Random Effects. COMMUN STAT-THEOR M vol. 39, (12) 2205-2230.
Congdon P(2010). Estimating Prevalence of Coronary Heart Disease for Small Areas Using Collateral Indicators of Morbidity. INT J ENV RES PUB HE vol. 7, (1) 164-177.
CONGDON P(2010). Random-effects models for migration attractivity and retentivity: a Bayesian methodology. vol. 173, (4) 755-774.
Congdon P(2010). Random-effects models for migration attractivity and retentivity: a Bayesian methodology. J R STAT SOC A STAT vol. 173, 755-774.
Congdon P(2009). Adaptive autoregressive priors for area and time structured mortality data. J STAT PLAN INFER vol. 139, (9) 2870-2884.
Congdon P, Lloyd P(2009). Toxocara Infection in the United States: The Relevance of Poverty, Geography and Demography as Risk Factors and Implications for Estimating County Prevalence. Annals of Epidemiology vol. 19, (9)
Congdon P(2009). Life Expectancies for Small Areas: A Bayesian Random Effects Methodology. INT STAT REV vol. 77, (2) 222-240.
Congdon P(2009). Modelling the impact of socioeconomic structure on spatial health outcomes. COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 53, (8) 3047-3056.
LeSage J, Banerjee S, Fischer MM, Congdon P(2009). Spatial statistics: Methods, models & computation. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis vol. 53, (8) 2781-2785.
Curtis S, Congdon P, Almog M, Ellermann R(2009). County variation in use of inpatient and ambulatory psychiatric care in New York State 1999-2001: Need and supply influences in a structural model. HEALTH PLACE vol. 15, (2) 568-577.
Congdon P(2009). A multilevel model for cardiovascular disease prevalence in the US and its application to micro area prevalence estimates. Int J Health Geogr vol. 8,
Washington S, Congdon P, Karlaftis MG, Mannering FL(2009). Bayesian Multinomial Logit Theory and Route Choice Example. TRANSP RES RECORD (2136) 28-36.
Congdon P(2008). A spatially adaptive conditional autoregressive prior for area health data. Statistical Methodology vol. 5, (6) 552-563.
Congdon P(2008). The need for psychiatric care in England: a spatial factor methodology. J GEOGR SYST vol. 10, (3) 217-239.
Congdon P(2008). Bayesian Statistics in Quantitative Risk Assessment. Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment,
Congdon P(2008). A spatial structural equation model for health outcomes. J STAT PLAN INFER vol. 138, (7) 2090-2105.
Fagg J, Curtis S, Clark C, Congdon P, Stansfeld SA(2008). Neighbourhood perceptions among inner-city adolescents: Relationships with their individual characteristics and with independently assessed neighbourhood conditions. Journal of Environmental Psychology vol. 28, (2) 128-142.
Congdon P(2008). A bivariate frailty model for events with a permanent survivor fraction and non-monotonic hazards; with an application to age at first maternity. COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 52, (9) 4346-4356.
Congdon P(2008). Estimating CHD prevalence by small area: integrating information from health surveys and area mortality. Health Place vol. 14, (1) 59-75.
Congdon P(2008). Models for Migration Age Schedules: A Bayesian Perspective with an Application to Flows between Scotland and England. International Migration in Europe: Data, Models and Estimates,
CONGDON P(2008). Indirect area estimates of disease prevalence: Bayesian evidence synthesis with an application to CHD. Journal of Data Science vol. 6, (1) 15-32.
Congdon P, Almog M, Curtis S, Ellerman R(2007). A spatial structural equation modelling framework for health count responses. Stat Med vol. 26, (29) 5267-5284.
Ghosh S, Das K, Congdon P(2007). Analysis of marginally specified semi-nonparametric models for clustered binary data. Statistica Neerlandica vol. 61, (3) 292-304.
Congdon P(2007). Bayesian statistical modelling: Second edition.
Congdon P(2007). A model for spatial variations in life expectancy; mortality in Chinese regions in 2000. INT J HEALTH GEOGR vol. 6, Article 16,
Congdon P(2007). Model weights for model choice and averaging. Statistical Methodology vol. 4, (2) 143-157.
Congdon P(2007). Mixtures of spatial and unstructured effects for spatially discontinuous health outcomes. COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 51, (6) 3197-3212.
Congdon P(2007). Bayesian modelling strategies for spatially varying regression coefficients: A multivariate perspective for multiple outcomes. COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 51, (5) 2586-2601.
Congdon P(2007). Gaussian Markov random fields: Theory and applications. J ROY STAT SOC A STA vol. 170, 858-858.
Congdon P(2006). Estimating population prevalence of psychiatric conditions by small area with applications to analysing outcome and referral variations. HEALTH PLACE vol. 12, (4) 465-478.
Congdon P(2006). Modelling multiple hospital outcomes: the impact of small area and primary care practice variation. Int J Health Geogr vol. 5,
Fagg J, Curtis S, Stansfeld S, Congdon P(2006). Psychological distress among adolescents, and its relationship to individual, family and area characteristics in East London. Soc Sci Med vol. 63, (3) 636-648.
Congdon P(2006). A model for geographical variation in health and total life expectancy. DEMOGR RES vol. 14, 157-178.
Congdon P(2006). A model framework for mortality and health data classified by age, area, and time. BIOMETRICS vol. 62, (1) 269-278.
Congdon P(2006). Estimating diabetes prevalence by small area in England. J PUBLIC HEALTH vol. 28, (1) 71-81.
Curtis S, Copeland A, Fagg J, Congdon P, Almog M, Fitzpatrick J(2006). The ecological relationship between deprivation, social isolation and rates of hospital admission for acute psychiatric care: a comparison of London and New York City. Health Place vol. 12, (1) 19-37.
Congdon P(2006). Bayesian model comparison via parallel model output. J STAT COMPUT SIM vol. 76, (2) 149-165.
Congdon P(2006). A model for non-parametric spatially varying regression effects. COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 50, (2) 422-445.
Congdon P(2006). Bayesian model choice based on Monte Carlo estimates of posterior model probabilities. COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 50, (2) 346-357.
CONGDON PD(2006). A spatio-remporal forecasting approach for health indicators. Journal of Data Science vol. 5,
CONGDON P(2006). Bayesian Statistical Modelling. Wiley (Chichester),
Congdon P(2006). Forecasting Demand for Regional Healthcare. Patient Flow: Reducing Delay in Healthcare Delivery, vol. 91,
CONGDON PD(2006). Forecasting Regional Demand for Acute Health Care. Delay Management in Health Care Systems, Springer
Congdon P(2006). Forecasting demand for regional healthcare. International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, vol. 91,
Congdon P, Clarke T(2005). Assessing intervention effects in a community-based trial to reduce self-harm: A methodological case study. PUBLIC HEALTH vol. 119, (11) 1011-1015.
Chapman J, Congdon P, Shaw S, Carter YH(2005). The geographical distribution of specialists in public health in the United Kingdom: is capacity related to need?. Public Health vol. 119, (7) 639-646.
Congdon P(2005). Discrete Spatial Data. Bayesian Models for Categorical Data,
Congdon P(2005). Further Questions in Binomial and Count Regression. Bayesian Models for Categorical Data,
Congdon P(2005). Hierarchical and Panel Data Models. Bayesian Models for Categorical Data,
Congdon P(2005). Missing‐Data Models. Bayesian Models for Categorical Data,
Congdon P(2005). Model Comparison and Choice. Bayesian Models for Categorical Data,
Congdon P(2005). Models for Binary and Count Outcomes. Bayesian Models for Categorical Data,
Congdon P(2005). Ordinal Regression. Bayesian Models for Categorical Data,
Congdon P(2005). Principles of Bayesian Inference. Bayesian Models for Categorical Data,
Congdon P(2005). Random Effect and Latent Variable Models for Multicategory Outcomes. Bayesian Models for Categorical Data,
Congdon P(2005). Regression for Metric Outcomes. Bayesian Models for Categorical Data,
Congdon P(2005). Time Series Models for Discrete Variables. Bayesian Models for Categorical Data,
Congdon P(2005). Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics. Bayesian Models for Categorical Data,
Congdon P(2005). Markov Chain Monte Carlo and Bayesian Statistics. Encyclopedia of Statistics in Behavioral Science,
Congdon P(2005). Bayesian predictive model comparison via parallel sampling. COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 48, (4) 735-753.
CONGDON P(2005). Bayesian Methods for Categorical Data. Wiley (Chichester),
CONGDON PD(2005). MCMC and Bayesian Methods. Encyclopedia of Statistics in the Behavioural Sciences, Wiley
Chapman J, Shaw S, Congdon P, Carter YH, Abbott S, Petchey R(2005). Specialist public health capacity in England: working in the new primary care organizations. PUBLIC HEALTH vol. 119, (1) 22-31.
Congdon P, Southall H(2005). Trends in inequality in infant mortality in the North of England, 1921-1973, and their association with urban and social structure. J R STAT SOC A STAT vol. 168, 679-700.
Congdon P, Southall H(2004). Small area variations in infant mortality in England and Wales in the inter-war period and their link with socio-economic factors. HEALTH PLACE vol. 10, (4) 363-382.
Congdon P(2004). Commentary: Contextual effects: index construction and technique. INT J EPIDEMIOL vol. 33, (4) 741-742.
Congdon P(2004). A multivariate model for spatio-temporal health outcomes with an application to suicide mortality. GEOGR ANAL vol. 36, (3) 234-258.
Almog M, Curtis S, Copeland A, Congdon P(2004). Geographical variation in acute psychiatric admissions within New York City 1990-2000: growing inequalities in service use?. SOC SCI MED vol. 59, (2) 361-376.
Congdon P(2004). Modelling trends and inequality in small area mortality. J APPL STAT vol. 31, (6) 603-622.
Curtis S, Southall H, Congdon P, Dodgeon B(2004). Area effects on health variation over the life-course: analysis of the longitudinal study sample in England using new data on area of residence in childhood. Soc Sci Med vol. 58, (1) 57-74.
CONGDON PD(2004). Contextual Effects: index construction and technique. International Journal of Epidemiology. vol. 33, 741-742.
Curtis S, Stansfeld S, CONGDON PD, Fagg J(2004). Neighbourhood influences on adolesecent health in East London. Featuring the Quality of Urban Life in Contemporary Cities of Eastern and Western Europe, Editors: Sagan, I, Czepczinski, ME, Bogucki Wydawnictwo Naukowe (Gdansk-Poznan),
CONGDON P(2003). Applied Bayesian models. J. Wiley (Chichester),
CONGDON PD(2003). Modelling Spatially Varying Impacts of Socio Economic Predictors on Mortality Outcomes. Journal of Geographical Systems. vol. 5, 161-184.
Congdon P(2002). A model for mental health needs and resourcing in small geographic areas: A multivariate spatial perspective. GEOGR ANAL vol. 34, (2) 168-186.
CONGDON PD(2002). A life table approach to small area health need profiling. Statistical Modelling. vol. 2, 63-88.
Congdon P(2001). The development of gravity models for hospital patient flows under system change: a Bayesian modelling approach. Health Care Manag Sci vol. 4, (4) 289-304.
Congdon P(2001). Health status and healthy life measures for population health need assessment: modelling variability and uncertainty. HEALTH PLACE vol. 7, (1) 13-25.
Congdon P(2001). Predicting adverse infant health outcomes using routine screening variables: modelling the impact of interdependent risk factors. JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS vol. 28, (2) 183-197.
CONGDON PD, Jones IR, Gregory IN, Campos R, Curtis S, Southall HR(2001). Quantifying and explaining changes in geographical inequality of infant mortality in England and Wales since the 1890s. International Journal of Population Geography vol. 7, (1) 35-51.
CONGDON P(2001). Bayesian Statistical Modelling. Wiley (Chichester),
Congdon P, Smith A, Dean C(1998). Assessing psychiatric morbidity from community registers: Methods for Bayesian adjustment. Urban Studies vol. 35, (12) 2323-2352.
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