Publications: Prof Peter Congdon

Urdangarin A, Goicoa T, Congdon P, Ugarte MD ( 2025 ) . A fast approach for analyzing spatio-temporal patterns in ischemic heart disease mortality across US counties (1999–2021) . Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology vol. 52 ,

Congdon P ( 2024 ) . Suicide variations between English neighbourhoods over 2017-21: The role of spatial scale . Social Science & Medicine vol. 362 ,

Ku BS, Barrera Flores FJ, Congdon P, Yuan Q, Druss BG ( 2024 ) . The association between county-level mental health provider shortage areas and suicide rates in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic . General Hospital Psychiatry vol. 88 , 48 - 50 .

Congdon P ( 2024 ) . Neighbourhood Health Inequalities between Ethnic Groups in England: An Application of Ecological Inference . Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy vol. 17 , ( 2 ) 847 - 866 .

Congdon P ( 2023 ) . Psychosis prevalence in London neighbourhoods; A case study in spatial confounding . Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology vol. 48 ,

Congdon P ( 2023 ) . The ethnic density effect as a contextual influence in ecological disease models: Establishing its quantitative expression . Health & Place vol. 83 ,

Gramatica M, Liverani S, Congdon P ( 2023 ) . Structure induced by a multiple membership transformation on the Conditional Autoregressive model . Bayesian Analysis

Reis RF, Congdon P ( 2023 ) . Editorial: Epidemiological considerations in COVID-19 forecasting . Frontiers in Epidemiology vol. 2 ,

Congdon P, Amugsi D ( 2022 ) . Editorial: The obesity epidemic: Causes, context, prevention . Frontiers in Public Health vol. 10 ,

Congdon P ( 2022 ) . Measuring Obesogenicity and Assessing Its Impact on Child Obesity: A Cross-Sectional Ecological Study for England Neighbourhoods . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 19 , ( 17 )

Congdon P ( 2022 ) . A Model for Highly Fluctuating Spatio-Temporal Infection Data, with Applications to the COVID Epidemic . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 19 , ( 11 )

Congdon P ( 2022 ) . A spatio-temporal autoregressive model for monitoring and predicting COVID infection rates . Journal of Geographical Systems vol. 24 , ( 4 ) 583 - 610 .

Adin A, Congdon P, Santafé G, Ugarte MD ( 2022 ) . Identifying extreme COVID-19 mortality risks in English small areas: a disease cluster approach . Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment vol. 36 , ( 10 ) 2995 - 3010 .

Congdon P ( 2021 ) . COVID-19 Mortality in English Neighborhoods: The Relative Role of Socioeconomic and Environmental Factors . J — Multidisciplinary Scientific Journal vol. 4 , ( 2 ) 131 - 146 .

Gramatica M, Liverani S, Congdon P ( 2021 ) . Bayesian modelling for spatially misaligned health areal data: a multiple membership approach . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics

Congdon P ( 2021 ) . Mid‐Epidemic Forecasts of COVID‐19 Cases and Deaths: A Bivariate Model Applied to the UK . Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases vol. 2021 , ( 1 )

Congdon P ( 2021 ) . Bayesian Modeling of Spatial Data . Handbook of Regional Science , Springer Nature

Curtis S, Cunningham N, Pearce J, Congdon P, Cherrie M, Atkinson S ( 2020 ) . Trajectories in mental health and socio-spatial conditions in a time of economic recovery and austerity: A longitudinal study in England 2011–17 . Social Science & Medicine vol. 270 ,

Congdon P ( 2020 ) . The Upstream Environment for the Obesity Epidemic . Obesity and Diabetes , Springer Nature

Baptista H, Congdon P, Mendes JM, Rodrigues AM, Canhão H, Dias SS ( 2020 ) . Disease mapping models for data with weak spatial dependence or spatial discontinuities . Epidemiologic Methods vol. 9 , ( 1 )

Congdon P ( 2020 ) . Geographical Aspects of Recent Trends in Drug-Related Deaths, with a Focus on Intra-National Contextual Variation . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 17 , ( 21 )

Congdon P ( 2020 ) . A diabetes risk index for small areas in England . Health & Place vol. 63 ,

Congdon P ( 2020 ) . Modelling spatially varying coefficients via sparsity priors . Model Assisted Statistics and Applications vol. 15 , ( 2 ) 99 - 109 .

Congdon P ( 2020 ) . Assessing persistence in spatial clustering of disease, with an application to drug related deaths in scottish neighbourhoods . Epidemiology Biostatistics and Public Health vol. 16 , ( 4 )

Curtis S, Congdon P, Atkinson S, Corcoran R, MaGuire R, Peasgood T ( 2020 ) . Adverse conditions for wellbeing at the neighbourhood scale in England: Potential and challenges for operationalising indicators relevant to wellbeing in and of places . Wellbeing Space and Society vol. 1 ,

Congdon PD ( 2019 ) . Bayesian Hierarchical Models, With Applications Using R, Second Edition . Taylor & Francis

Puckrein G, Walker D, Xu L, Congdon P, Gooch K ( 2019 ) . The Prevalence and Forecast Prevalence of Overactive Bladder in the Medicare Population . Clinical Medicine Insights Urology vol. 12 ,

Congdon P ( 2019 ) . Geographical Patterns in Drug-Related Mortality and Suicide: Investigating Commonalities in English Small Areas . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 16 , ( 10 )

Bagheri N, Batterham PJ, Salvador-Carulla L, Chen Y, Page A, Calear AL, Congdon P ( 2019 ) . Development of the Australian neighborhood social fragmentation index and its association with spatial variation in depression across communities . Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology vol. 54 , ( 10 ) 1189 - 1198 .

Congdon P ( 2019 ) . Bayesian Modeling of Spatial Data . Handbook of Regional Science , Springer Nature

Congdon P ( 2019 ) . Obesity and Urban Environments . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 16 , ( 3 )

Congdon PD ( 2019 ) . Bayesian Hierarchical Models: With Applications Using R, Second Edition .

Congdon P ( 2018 ) . Analysing Mortality in London: Life‐Tables with Frailty . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series D (The Statistician) vol. 43 , ( 2 ) 277 - 308 .

Congdon P ( 2018 ) . Aspects of General Linear Modelling of Migration . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series D (The Statistician) vol. 41 , ( 2 ) 133 - 153 .

Congdon P ( 2018 ) . Deprivation in London Wards: Mortality and Unemployment Trends in the 1980S . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series D (The Statistician) vol. 37 , ( 4-5 ) 451 - 472 .

Congdon P ( 2018 ) . Spatiotemporal Analysis of Area Mortality . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series D (The Statistician) vol. 43 , ( 4 ) 513 - 528 .

Congdon P ( 2018 ) . Statistical Graduation in Local Demographic Analysis and Projection . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society) vol. 156 , ( 2 ) 237 - 270 .

Congdon P ( 2018 ) . The Epidemiology of Suicide in London . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society) vol. 159 , ( 3 ) 515 - 533 .

Congdon P ( 2018 ) . Spatial heterogeneity in Bayesian disease mapping . GeoJournal

Zhao JH, Luan J, Congdon P ( 2018 ) . Bayesian linear mixed models with polygenic effects . Journal of Statistical Software vol. 85 ,

Congdon P ( 2017 ) . BAYESIAN METHODS FOR REPEATED MEASURES. Lyle D. Broemeling. Boca Raton: Chapman & Hall/CRC Press, 568 pages, ISBN 978‐1‐4822‐4819‐7 . Biometrical Journal vol. 60 , ( 1 ) 222 - 222 .

Congdon P ( 2017 ) . Quantile regression for overdispersed count data: a hierarchical method . Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications vol. 4 , ( 1 )

Congdon P ( 2017 ) . Variations in Obesity Rates between US Counties: Impacts of Activity Access, Food Environments, and Settlement Patterns . Int J Environ Res Public Health vol. 14 , ( 9 ) Article E1023 ,

Congdon P ( 2017 ) . Quantile Regression for Area Disease Counts: Bayesian Estimation using Generalized Poisson Regression . International Journal of Statistics in Medical Research vol. 6 , ( 3 ) 92 - 103 .

Jonker MF, D'Ippolito E, Eikemo TA, Congdon PD, Nante N, Mackenbach JP, Kamphuis CBM ( 2017 ) . The effect of regional politics on regional life expectancy in Italy (1980-2010) . Scand J Public Health vol. 45 , ( 2 ) 121 - 131 .

Congdon P ( 2017 ) . Representing spatial dependence and spatial discontinuity in ecological epidemiology: a scale mixture approach . Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment vol. 31 , ( 2 ) 291 - 304 .

Congdon P ( 2016 ) . Spatiotemporal Frameworks for Infectious Disease Diffusion and Epidemiology . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 13 , ( 12 )

Congdon P ( 2016 ) . Assessing Impacts on Unplanned Hospitalisations of Care Quality and Access Using a Structural Equation Method: With a Case Study of Diabetes . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 13 , ( 9 )

Congdon P, Shepherd J ( 2016 ) . Modelling Population Changes in Small English Urban Areas . Environment and Planning A Economy and Space vol. 18 , ( 10 ) 1297 - 1322 .

Congdon P ( 2016 ) . A local join counts methodology for spatial clustering in disease from relative risk models . Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods vol. 45 , ( 10 ) 3059 - 3075 .

Schofield P, Das-Munshi J, Mathur R, Congdon P, Hull S ( 2016 ) . Does depression diagnosis and antidepressant prescribing vary by location? Analysis of ethnic density associations using a large primary-care dataset . Psychological Medicine vol. 46 , ( 6 ) 1321 - 1329 .

Congdon P ( 2016 ) . Area variations in multiple morbidity using a life table methodology . Health Serv Outcomes Res Methodol vol. 16 , 58 - 74 .

Congdon P ( 2015 ) . Spatial variation in attributable risks . Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology vol. 12 , Article C , 39 - 52 .

Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Modelling changes in small area disability free life expectancy: trends in London wards between 2001 and 2011 . Stat Med vol. 33 , ( 29 ) 5138 - 5150 .

Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Explaining variations in obesity and inactivity between US metropolitan areas . GeoJournal vol. 81 , ( 2 ) 211 - 229 .

Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Bayesian Statistics in Quantitative Risk Assessment . Wiley StatsRef: Statistics Reference Online , Wiley

Congdon P, Cai Q, Puckrein G, Xu L ( 2014 ) . Predicting Risks of Increased Morbidity among Atrial Fibrillation Patients using Consumption Classes . International Journal of Statistics in Medical Research vol. 3 , ( 3 ) 248 - 256 .

Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Modelling changes in Arctic Sea Ice Cover: an application of generalized and inflated beta and gamma densities . Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications vol. 1 , ( 1 )

Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Applied Bayesian Modelling . Wiley

Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Interpolation between spatial frameworks: an application of process convolution to estimating neighbourhood disease prevalence . Stat Methods Med Res vol. 23 , ( 2 ) 169 - 182 .

Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Estimating Life Expectancy in Small Areas, with an Application to Recent Changes in Life Expectancy in US Counties . Mortality in an International Perspective , Editors: Anson, J, Luy, M , Springer Science & Business Media

Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Estimating life expectancies for US small areas: a regression framework . JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SYSTEMS vol. 16 , ( 1 ) 1 - 18 .

Andreon S, Congdon P ( 2014 ) . The insignificant evolution of the richness-mass relation of galaxy clusters . ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS vol. 568 , Article ARTN A23 ,

Congdon P ( 2013 ) . Forecasting Demand for Regional Health Care . Patient Flow , vol. 206 , Springer Nature

Congdon P ( 2013 ) . Spatially interpolated disease prevalence estimation using collateral indicators of morbidity and ecological risk . Int J Environ Res Public Health vol. 10 , ( 10 ) 5011 - 5025 .

Congdon P ( 2013 ) . Bayesian Spatial Statistical Modeling . Handbook of Regional Science , Springer Nature

Congdon P ( 2013 ) . Suicide Risk in London: An Examination of Changing Trends in the 1980s and 1990s . The London Journal vol. 22 , ( 2 ) 160 - 174 .

Congdon PD ( 2013 ) . A Model for Spatially Varying Crime Rates in English Districts: The Effects of Social Capital, Fragmentation, Deprivation and Urbanicity . International Journal of Criminology and Sociology vol. 2 , 138 - 152 .

Congdon P ( 2013 ) . Modelling small-area inequality in premature mortality using years of life lost rates . JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SYSTEMS vol. 15 , ( 2 ) 149 - 167 .

Jonker MF, Congdon PD, van Lenthe FJ, Donkers B, Burdorf A, Mackenbach JP ( 2013 ) . Small-area health comparisons using health-adjusted life expectancies: A Bayesian random-effects approach . HEALTH & PLACE vol. 23 , 70 - 78 .

Jonker MF, van Lenthe FJ, Donkers B, Congdon PD, Burdorf A, Mackenbach JP ( 2013 ) . The impact of nursing homes on small-area life expectancies . HEALTH & PLACE vol. 19 , 25 - 32 .

Congdon P ( 2012 ) . Assessing the impact of socioeconomic variables on small area variations in suicide outcomes in England . Int J Environ Res Public Health vol. 10 , ( 1 ) 158 - 177 .

Congdon P ( 2012 ) . Latent variable model for suicide risk in relation to social capital and socio-economic status . Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol vol. 47 , ( 8 ) 1205 - 1219 .

Jonker MF, van Lenthe FJ, CONGDON PD, Donkers B, Burdorf A, Mackenbach JP ( 2012 ) . Comparison of Bayesian Random-Effects and Traditional Life Expectancy Estimations in Small-Area Applications . American Journal of Epidemiology vol. 176 , ( 10 ) 929 - 937 .

Congdon P ( 2012 ) . Spatial Health Factors with Selection Among Multiple Causes: Lung Cancer in US Counties . COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-THEORY AND METHODS vol. 41 , ( 11 ) 1933 - 1953 .

Congdon P ( 2011 ) . The Spatial Pattern of Suicide in the US in Relation to Deprivation, Fragmentation and Rurality . URBAN STUD vol. 48 , ( 10 ) 2101 - 2122 .

Congdon P ( 2011 ) . Spatial path models with multiple indicators and multiple causes: mental health in US counties . Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol vol. 2 , ( 2 ) 103 - 116 .

CONGDON P ( 2011 ) . A spatial random-effects model for interzone flows: commuting in Northern Ireland . Journal of Applied Statistics

Congdon P, Lloyd P ( 2011 ) . Toxocara infection in the United States: the relevance of poverty, geography and demography as risk factors, and implications for estimating county prevalence . Int J Public Health vol. 56 , ( 1 ) 15 - 24 .

Congdon P ( 2011 ) . Explaining the Spatial Pattern of Suicide and Self-Harm Rates: A Case Study of East and South East England . APPLIED SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND POLICY vol. 4 , ( 1 ) 23 - 43 .

Congdon P ( 2011 ) . Structural equation models for area health outcomes with model selection . J APPL STAT vol. 38 , ( 4 ) 745 - 767 .

Congdon P ( 2010 ) . A Bayesian Approach to Prediction Using the Gravity Model, with an Application to Patient Flow Modeling . Geographical Analysis vol. 32 , ( 3 ) 205 - 224 .

Congdon PD ( 2010 ) . Applied Bayesian Hierarchical Methods . Taylor & Francis

Congdon P ( 2010 ) . A multiple indicator, multiple cause method for representing social capital with an application to psychological distress . J GEOGR SYST vol. 12 , ( 1 ) 1 - 23 .

Congdon P ( 2010 ) . A Multilevel Model for Comorbid Outcomes: Obesity and Diabetes in the US . INT J ENV RES PUB HE vol. 7 , ( 2 ) 333 - 352 .

Congdon P ( 2010 ) . A spatial structural equation model with an application to area health needs . J STAT COMPUT SIM vol. 80 , ( 4 ) 401 - 412 .

Congdon P ( 2010 ) . Assessing Differential Area Mortality Trends via Bayesian Random Effects . COMMUN STAT-THEOR M vol. 39 , ( 12 ) 2205 - 2230 .

Congdon P ( 2010 ) . Estimating Prevalence of Coronary Heart Disease for Small Areas Using Collateral Indicators of Morbidity . INT J ENV RES PUB HE vol. 7 , ( 1 ) 164 - 177 .

CONGDON P ( 2010 ) . Random-effects models for migration attractivity and retentivity: a Bayesian methodology . vol. 173 , ( 4 ) 755 - 774 .

Congdon P ( 2010 ) . Random-effects models for migration attractivity and retentivity: a Bayesian methodology . J R STAT SOC A STAT vol. 173 , 755 - 774 .

Munk K, Congdon P, Macdonald W ( 2009 ) . Age-related differences in insurance claim rates for work-related injuries and diseases for different occupations and industry sectors . Promotion of Work Ability Towards Productive Aging - Selected Papers of the 3rd International Symposium on Work Ability . 331 - 341 .

Munk K, Congdon P, Macdonald W ( 2009 ) . Age-related differences in patterns of return to work and compensation costs following work-related injury or illness . Promotion of Work Ability Towards Productive Aging - Selected Papers of the 3rd International Symposium on Work Ability . 343 - 353 .

Congdon P ( 2009 ) . Adaptive autoregressive priors for area and time structured mortality data . J STAT PLAN INFER vol. 139 , ( 9 ) 2870 - 2884 .

Congdon P, Lloyd P ( 2009 ) . Toxocara Infection in the United States: The Relevance of Poverty, Geography and Demography as Risk Factors and Implications for Estimating County Prevalence . Annals of Epidemiology vol. 19 , ( 9 )

Congdon P ( 2009 ) . Life Expectancies for Small Areas: A Bayesian Random Effects Methodology . INT STAT REV vol. 77 , ( 2 ) 222 - 240 .

Congdon P ( 2009 ) . Modelling the impact of socioeconomic structure on spatial health outcomes . COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 53 , ( 8 ) 3047 - 3056 .

Curtis S, Congdon P, Almog M, Ellermann R ( 2009 ) . County variation in use of inpatient and ambulatory psychiatric care in New York State 1999-2001: Need and supply influences in a structural model . HEALTH PLACE vol. 15 , ( 2 ) 568 - 577 .

LeSage J, Banerjee S, Fischer MM, Congdon P ( 2009 ) . Spatial statistics: Methods, models & computation . Computational Statistics & Data Analysis vol. 53 , ( 8 ) 2781 - 2785 .

Congdon P ( 2009 ) . HETEROGENEITY AND TIMING EFFECTS IN OCCUPATIONAL MOBILITY: A GENERAL MODEL* . Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics vol. 47 , ( 4 ) 347 - 369 .

Congdon P ( 2009 ) . A multilevel model for cardiovascular disease prevalence in the US and its application to micro area prevalence estimates . Int J Health Geogr vol. 8 ,

Washington S, Congdon P, Karlaftis MG, Mannering FL ( 2009 ) . Bayesian Multinomial Logit Theory and Route Choice Example . TRANSP RES RECORD ( 2136 ) 28 - 36 .

Congdon P ( 2008 ) . A spatially adaptive conditional autoregressive prior for area health data . Statistical Methodology vol. 5 , ( 6 ) 552 - 563 .

Congdon P ( 2008 ) . Bayesian Statistics in Quantitative Risk Assessment . Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment , Wiley

Congdon P ( 2008 ) . The need for psychiatric care in England: a spatial factor methodology . J GEOGR SYST vol. 10 , ( 3 ) 217 - 239 .

Congdon P ( 2008 ) . A spatial structural equation model for health outcomes . J STAT PLAN INFER vol. 138 , ( 7 ) 2090 - 2105 .

Fagg J, Curtis S, Clark C, Congdon P, Stansfeld SA ( 2008 ) . Neighbourhood perceptions among inner-city adolescents: Relationships with their individual characteristics and with independently assessed neighbourhood conditions . Journal of Environmental Psychology vol. 28 , ( 2 ) 128 - 142 .

Congdon P ( 2008 ) . A bivariate frailty model for events with a permanent survivor fraction and non-monotonic hazards; with an application to age at first maternity . COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 52 , ( 9 ) 4346 - 4356 .

Congdon P ( 2008 ) . Estimating CHD prevalence by small area: integrating information from health surveys and area mortality . Health Place vol. 14 , ( 1 ) 59 - 75 .

Congdon P ( 2008 ) . Models for Migration Age Schedules: A Bayesian Perspective with an Application to Flows between Scotland and England . International Migration in Europe , Wiley

CONGDON P ( 2008 ) . Indirect area estimates of disease prevalence: Bayesian evidence synthesis with an application to CHD . Journal of Data Science vol. 6 , ( 1 ) 15 - 32 .

Congdon P, Almog M, Curtis S, Ellerman R ( 2007 ) . A spatial structural equation modelling framework for health count responses . Stat Med vol. 26 , ( 29 ) 5267 - 5284 .

Congdon P ( 2007 ) . OCCUPATIONAL MOBILITY and LABOUR MARKET STRUCTURE: A MULTIVARIATE MARKOV MODEL . Scottish Journal of Political Economy vol. 35 , ( 3 ) 208 - 226 .

Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Frees, E. (2004). Longitudinal and panel data. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 467+viii pages. US$ 39.99. ISBN: 0-521-53538-7 . Psychometrika vol. 72 , ( 4 ) 653 - 653 .

Ghosh S, Das K, Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Analysis of marginally specified semi‐nonparametric models for clustered binary data . Statistica Neerlandica vol. 61 , ( 3 ) 292 - 304 .

Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Bayesian statistical modelling: Second edition .

Congdon P ( 2007 ) . A model for spatial variations in life expectancy; mortality in Chinese regions in 2000 . INT J HEALTH GEOGR vol. 6 , Article 16 ,

Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Model weights for model choice and averaging . Statistical Methodology vol. 4 , ( 2 ) 143 - 157 .

Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Mixtures of spatial and unstructured effects for spatially discontinuous health outcomes . COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 51 , ( 6 ) 3197 - 3212 .

Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Modelling frailty in area mortality . Statistics in Medicine vol. 14 , ( 17 ) 1859 - 1874 .

Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Bayesian modelling strategies for spatially varying regression coefficients: A multivariate perspective for multiple outcomes . COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 51 , ( 5 ) 2586 - 2601 .

Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Gaussian Markov random fields: Theory and applications . J ROY STAT SOC A STA vol. 170 , 858 - 858 .

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Estimating population prevalence of psychiatric conditions by small area with applications to analysing outcome and referral variations . HEALTH PLACE vol. 12 , ( 4 ) 465 - 478 .

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Modelling multiple hospital outcomes: the impact of small area and primary care practice variation . Int J Health Geogr vol. 5 ,

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Graduation of Fertility Schedules: An Analysis of Fertility Patterns in London in the 1980s and an Application to Fertility Forecasts . Regional Studies vol. 24 , ( 4 ) 311 - 326 .

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Modelling Migration Flows between Areas: An Analysis for London Using the Census and OPCS Longitudinal Study . Regional Studies vol. 23 , ( 2 ) 87 - 103 .

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Multiregional Demographic Projections in Practice: A Metropolitan Example . Regional Studies vol. 26 , ( 2 ) 177 - 191 .

Fagg J, Curtis S, Stansfeld S, Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Psychological distress among adolescents, and its relationship to individual, family and area characteristics in East London . Soc Sci Med vol. 63 , ( 3 ) 636 - 648 .

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . A model for geographical variation in health and total life expectancy . DEMOGR RES vol. 14 , 157 - 178 .

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . A model framework for mortality and health data classified by age, area, and time . BIOMETRICS vol. 62 , ( 1 ) 269 - 278 .

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Estimating diabetes prevalence by small area in England . J PUBLIC HEALTH vol. 28 , ( 1 ) 71 - 81 .

Curtis S, Copeland A, Fagg J, Congdon P, Almog M, Fitzpatrick J ( 2006 ) . The ecological relationship between deprivation, social isolation and rates of hospital admission for acute psychiatric care: a comparison of London and New York City . Health Place vol. 12 , ( 1 ) 19 - 37 .

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Bayesian model comparison via parallel model output . J STAT COMPUT SIM vol. 76 , ( 2 ) 149 - 165 .

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . A model for non-parametric spatially varying regression effects . COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 50 , ( 2 ) 422 - 445 .

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Bayesian model choice based on Monte Carlo estimates of posterior model probabilities . COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 50 , ( 2 ) 346 - 357 .

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Discrete Spatial Data . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Further Questions in Binomial and Count Regression . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Hierarchical and Panel Data Models . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Missing‐Data Models . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Model Comparison and Choice . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Models for Binary and Count Outcomes . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Ordinal Regression . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Principles of Bayesian Inference . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Random Effect and Latent Variable Models for Multicategory Outcomes . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Regression for Metric Outcomes . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Time Series Models for Discrete Variables . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,

CONGDON PD ( 2006 ) . A spatio-remporal forecasting approach for health indicators . Journal of Data Science vol. 5 ,

CONGDON P ( 2006 ) . Bayesian Statistical Modelling . Wiley ( Chichester ),

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Forecasting Demand for Regional Healthcare . Patient Flow: Reducing Delay in Healthcare Delivery , vol. 91 , Springer Nature

CONGDON PD ( 2006 ) . Forecasting Regional Demand for Acute Health Care . Delay Management in Health Care Systems , Springer

Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Forecasting demand for regional healthcare . International Series in Operations Research and Management Science , vol. 91 ,

Congdon P, Clarke T ( 2005 ) . Assessing intervention effects in a community-based trial to reduce self-harm: A methodological case study . PUBLIC HEALTH vol. 119 , ( 11 ) 1011 - 1015 .

Congdon P ( 2005 ) . Markov Chain Monte Carlo and Bayesian Statistics . Encyclopedia of Statistics in Behavioral Science , Wiley

Chapman J, Congdon P, Shaw S, Carter YH ( 2005 ) . The geographical distribution of specialists in public health in the United Kingdom: is capacity related to need? . Public Health vol. 119 , ( 7 ) 639 - 646 .

Congdon P ( 2005 ) . Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,

Congdon P ( 2005 ) . Bayesian predictive model comparison via parallel sampling . COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 48 , ( 4 ) 735 - 753 .

CONGDON P ( 2005 ) . Bayesian Methods for Categorical Data . Wiley ( Chichester ),

CONGDON PD ( 2005 ) . MCMC and Bayesian Methods . Encyclopedia of Statistics in the Behavioural Sciences , Wiley

Chapman J, Shaw S, Congdon P, Carter YH, Abbott S, Petchey R ( 2005 ) . Specialist public health capacity in England: working in the new primary care organizations . PUBLIC HEALTH vol. 119 , ( 1 ) 22 - 31 .

Congdon P, Southall H ( 2005 ) . Trends in inequality in infant mortality in the North of England, 1921-1973, and their association with urban and social structure . J R STAT SOC A STAT vol. 168 , 679 - 700 .

Congdon P, Southall H ( 2004 ) . Small area variations in infant mortality in England and Wales in the inter-war period and their link with socio-economic factors . HEALTH PLACE vol. 10 , ( 4 ) 363 - 382 .

Congdon P ( 2004 ) . Commentary: Contextual effects: index construction and technique . INT J EPIDEMIOL vol. 33 , ( 4 ) 741 - 742 .

Congdon P ( 2004 ) . A multivariate model for spatio-temporal health outcomes with an application to suicide mortality . GEOGR ANAL vol. 36 , ( 3 ) 234 - 258 .

Almog M, Curtis S, Copeland A, Congdon P ( 2004 ) . Geographical variation in acute psychiatric admissions within New York City 1990-2000: growing inequalities in service use? . SOC SCI MED vol. 59 , ( 2 ) 361 - 376 .

Congdon P ( 2004 ) . Modelling trends and inequality in small area mortality . J APPL STAT vol. 31 , ( 6 ) 603 - 622 .

Curtis S, Southall H, Congdon P, Dodgeon B ( 2004 ) . Area effects on health variation over the life-course: analysis of the longitudinal study sample in England using new data on area of residence in childhood . Soc Sci Med vol. 58 , ( 1 ) 57 - 74 .

CONGDON PD ( 2004 ) . Contextual Effects: index construction and technique . International Journal of Epidemiology. vol. 33 , 741 - 742 .

Curtis S, Stansfeld S, CONGDON PD, Fagg J ( 2004 ) . Neighbourhood influences on adolesecent health in East London . Featuring the Quality of Urban Life in Contemporary Cities of Eastern and Western Europe , Editors: Sagan, I, Czepczinski, ME , Bogucki Wydawnictwo Naukowe ( Gdansk-Poznan ),

CONGDON P ( 2003 ) . Applied Bayesian models . J. Wiley ( Chichester ),

CONGDON PD ( 2003 ) . Modelling Spatially Varying Impacts of Socio Economic Predictors on Mortality Outcomes . Journal of Geographical Systems. vol. 5 , 161 - 184 .

Congdon P ( 2002 ) . A model for mental health needs and resourcing in small geographic areas: A multivariate spatial perspective . GEOGR ANAL vol. 34 , ( 2 ) 168 - 186 .

Congdon P, Best N ( 2002 ) . Small Area Variation in Hospital Admission Rates: Bayesian Adjustment for Primary Care and Hospital Factors . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C (Applied Statistics) vol. 49 , ( 2 ) 207 - 226 .

Congdon P ( 2002 ) . A multilevel model for infant health outcomes: maternal risk factors and geographic variation . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series D (The Statistician) vol. 47 , ( 1 ) 159 - 182 .

CONGDON PD ( 2002 ) . A life table approach to small area health need profiling . Statistical Modelling. vol. 2 , 63 - 88 .

Congdon P ( 2001 ) . The development of gravity models for hospital patient flows under system change: a Bayesian modelling approach . Health Care Manag Sci vol. 4 , ( 4 ) 289 - 304 .

Congdon P ( 2001 ) . Health status and healthy life measures for population health need assessment: modelling variability and uncertainty . HEALTH PLACE vol. 7 , ( 1 ) 13 - 25 .

CONGDON PD, Jones IR, Gregory IN, Campos R, Curtis S, Southall HR ( 2001 ) . Quantifying and explaining changes in geographical inequality of infant mortality in England and Wales since the 1890s . International Journal of Population Geography vol. 7 , ( 1 ) 35 - 51 .

CONGDON P ( 2001 ) . Bayesian Statistical Modelling . Wiley ( Chichester ),

Congdon P ( 2001 ) . Predicting adverse infant health outcomes using routine screening variables: modelling the impact of interdependent risk factors . JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS vol. 28 , ( 2 ) 183 - 197 .

Fowler R, Congdon P, Hamilton S ( 2000 ) . Assessing health status and outcomes in a geriatric day hospital . Public Health vol. 114 , ( 6 ) 440 - 445 .

Congdon P ( 2000 ) . Monitoring Suicide Mortality: A Bayesian Approach . European Journal of Population vol. 16 , ( 3 ) 251 - 284 .

Camilli G, Congdon P ( 1999 ) . Application of a Method of Estimating DIF for Polytomous Test Items . Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics vol. 24 , ( 4 ) 323 - 341 .

Congdon P ( 1999 ) . Primary care needs assessment and resourcing: complementary practice and geographic perspectives . Health & Place vol. 5 , ( 1 ) 59 - 82 .

Congdon P, Shouls S, Curtis S ( 1998 ) . A multi‐level perspective on small‐area health and mortality: a case study of England and Wales . Population Space and Place vol. 3 , ( 3 ) 243 - 263 .

Congdon P, Smith A, Dean C ( 1998 ) . Assessing Psychiatric Morbidity from Community Registers: Methods for Bayesian Adjustment . Urban Studies vol. 35 , ( 12 ) 2323 - 2352 .

Congdon P ( 1997 ) . Bayesian models for spatial incidence: a case study of suicide using the BUGS program . Health & Place vol. 3 , ( 4 ) 229 - 247 .

Congdon P ( 1997 ) . Multilevel and Clustering Analysis of Health Outcomes in Small Areas . European Journal of Population vol. 13 , ( 4 ) 305 - 338 .

Congdon P ( 1996 ) . General Linear Gravity Models for the Impact of Casualty Unit Closures . Urban Studies vol. 33 , ( 9 ) 1707 - 1728 .

Shouls S, Congdon P, Curtis S ( 1996 ) . Geographic variation in illness and mortality: the development of a relevant area typology for SAR districts . Health & Place vol. 2 , ( 3 ) 139 - 155 .

Hamilton S, Congdon P, Fowler R ( 1996 ) . Measuring outcomes of care in a day hospital setting . Nursing Older People vol. 8 , ( 3 ) 14 - 17 .

Shouls S, Congdon P, Curtis S ( 1996 ) . Modelling inequality in reported long term illness in the UK: combining individual and area characteristics . Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health vol. 50 , ( 3 )

Congdon P ( 1996 ) . Suicide and Parasuicide in London: A Small-area Study . Urban Studies vol. 33 , ( 1 ) 137 - 158 .

Congdon P ( 1995 ) . Life table analysis for areas using vital register data . European Journal of Population vol. 11 , ( 4 ) 343 - 369 .

Congdon P ( 1995 ) . Localities for Epidemiological Monitoring and Health Policy . Urban Studies vol. 32 , ( 7 ) 1175 - 1198 .

Congdon P ( 1995 ) . Micro- and Aggregate Perspectives on Life Table Heterogeneity: An Empirical Investigation of Area Mortality . Social Science Research vol. 24 , ( 2 ) 136 - 166 .

Congdon P ( 1995 ) . The Impact of Area Context on Long Term Illness and Premature Mortality: An Illustration of Multi-level Analysis . Regional Studies vol. 29 , ( 4 ) 327 - 344 .

Congdon P ( 1995 ) . Socio-economic Structure and Health in London . Urban Studies vol. 32 , ( 3 ) 523 - 549 .

CONGDON P ( 1994 ) . INNOVATION AND URBAN-POPULATION DYNAMICS - STROHMEIER,KP, MATTHIESSEN,CW . REGIONAL STUDIES vol. 28 , ( 2 ) 228 - 228 .

Congdon P ( 1993 ) . Approaches to Modelling Overdispersion in the Analysis of Migration . Environment and Planning A Economy and Space vol. 25 , ( 10 ) 1481 - 1510 .

Congdon P ( 1993 ) . Book Review: Urban Structure and the Labour Market: Worker Mobility, Commuting, and Underemployment . Urban Studies vol. 30 , ( 6 ) 1087 - 1089 .

CONGDON P, MCCALLUM I ( 1992 ) . A DEMO-EDUCATIONAL MODEL FOR FORECASTING SCHOOL ROLLS FOR LOCALITIES . JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES D-THE STATISTICIAN vol. 41 , ( 5 ) 573 - 590 .

GORDON I ( 1992 ) . MIGRATION AND LABOR-MARKET ADJUSTMENT - VANDIJK,J, FOLMER,H, HERZOG,HW, SCHLOTTMANN,AM . ENVIRONMENT AND PLANNING A vol. 24 , ( 6 ) 904 - 905 .

Congdon P, Thomas R ( 1991 ) . Introduction: Spatial statistics and modeling . Papers of the Regional Science Association vol. 70 , ( 3 ) 221 - 222 .

Congdon P ( 1991 ) . Spatiotemporal models for small-area social indicators . Papers of the Regional Science Association vol. 70 , ( 3 ) 243 - 265 .

CONGDON P ( 1991 ) . MIGRATION AND LABOR-MARKET ADJUSTMENT - VANDIJK,J, FOLMER,H, HERZOG,HW, SCHLOTTMANN,AM . REGIONAL STUDIES vol. 25 , ( 5 ) 489 - 489 .

Congdon P ( 1991 ) . The outer suburbs and metropolitan social change: a case study of London . Espace Populations Sociétés vol. 9 , ( 2 ) 381 - 394 .

Congdon P ( 1990 ) . Issues in the Analysis of Small Area Mortality . Urban Studies vol. 27 , ( 4 ) 519 - 536 .

Shepherd J, Congdon P ( 1990 ) . Small town England: Population change among small to medium sized urban areas, 1971–81 . Progress in Planning vol. 33 , 1 - 111 .

Congdon P ( 1990 ) . The analysis of small area social change . Progress in Planning vol. 34 , 191 - 290 .

Congdon P, Batey P ( 1989 ) . Advances in regional demography: information, forecasts, models . Advances in regional demography: information, forecasts, models

Congdon P ( 1989 ) . An analysis of population and social change in London wards in the 1980s . Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers vol. 14 , ( 4 ) 478 - 491 .

Congdon P ( 1989 ) . Fertility forecasts and structural interpretations: an application to London and England and Wales . Espace Populations Sociétés vol. 7 , ( 2 ) 177 - 188 .

Congdon P ( 1989 ) . Gender and space in London in the 1980s . Espace Populations Sociétés vol. 7 , ( 1 ) 27 - 41 .

Breheny M, Congdon P ( 1989 ) . Growth and change in a core region: the case of South East England . Growth and change in a core region: the case of South East England

Congdon P, Champion A ( 1989 ) . Recent population shifts in South East England and their relevance to the counterurbanisation debate . Growth and change in a core region: the case of SE England106 - 129 .

Congdon P, Champion T ( 1989 ) . Trends and structure in London's migration and their relation to employment and housing markets . Advances in regional demography180 - 204 .

Congdon P, Shepherd J ( 1988 ) . Components of Social Change in Urban Areas . Urban Studies vol. 25 , ( 3 ) 173 - 189 .

Congdon P ( 1988 ) . The Interdependence of Geographical Migration with Job and Housing Mobility in London . Regional Studies vol. 22 , ( 2 ) 81 - 93 .

Congdon P ( 1988 ) . Population estimates and forecasts for wards in Greater London . London Research Centre - Statistical Series vol. 63 ,

Congdon P ( 1988 ) . Trends and patterns in London migration in the 1980s . London Research Centre - Reviews & Studies Series vol. 37 ,

Congdon P ( 1987 ) . A map profile of ( population) change in London wards . London Research Centre - Statistical Series vol. 61 ,

Champion T, Congdon P ( 1987 ) . An analysis of the recovery of London's population change rate . Built Environment vol. 13 , ( 4 ) 193 - 211 .

Congdon P ( 1986 ) . Forecasting fertility rates for Greater London . London Research Centre - Statistical Series vol. 58 ,

CONGDON P, SHEPHERD J ( 1985 ) . SMALL-AREA SOCIAL-CHANGE IN GREATER LONDON - A REGRESSION APPROACH TO MEASUREMENT . JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL MEASUREMENT vol. 13 , ( 1 ) 49 - 67 .

Congdon P ( 1984 ) . Social structure and change in London wards: evidence from the 1971 and 1981 Censuses . Statistical Series - Greater London Council vol. 38 ,

Congdon P ( 1983 ) . A Model for the Interaction of Migration and Commuting . Urban Studies vol. 20 , ( 2 ) 185 - 195 .

Congdon P ( 1983 ) . A map profile of Greater London in 1981 ( Gimms procedure) . Greater London Council, Statistical Series vol. 23 ,

Gilje E, Hollis J, Hodgson M, Congdon P ( 1983 ) . Demographic review of Greater London 1983 . Greater London Council, Statistical Series vol. 20 ,

Shepherd J, Ryan L, Congdon P ( 1983 ) . Londoners are moving out . Geographical Magazine vol. 54 , ( 12 ) 669 - 673 .

Congdon P ( 1982 ) . Social and economic characteristics of London wards, 1978 . Greater London Council, Statistical Series vol. 15 ,

Congdon P, Hollis J, Strachan S ( 1981 ) . The 1981 round of demographic projections for Greater London. Part 1: population . The 1981 round of demographic projections for Greater London. Part 1: population.

Congdon P, Hollis J, Strachan S ( 1981 ) . The 1981 round of demographic projections for Greater London. Part 2: economically active population and households . The 1981 round of demographic projections for Greater London. Part 2: economically active population and households.

Congdon P, Hollis J, Strachan S ( 1981 ) . The 1981 round of demographic projections for Greater London. Part 3: appendix-projection using preliminary 1981 census data . Greater London Council, Statistical Series vol. 8 ,

Congdon P ( 1980 ) . Forecasting births in Greater London: An application of the easterlin hypothesis . Population Studies vol. 34 , ( 2 ) 267 - 278 .

Hollis J, Congdon P ( 1980 ) . The 1980 round of demographic projections for Greater London. Part 1: population . Greater London Council, Statistical Series vol. 2 ,

Hollis J, Congdon P ( 1980 ) . The 1980 round of demographic projections for Greater London. Part 2.: economically active population and households ( UK) . Greater London Council, Statistical Series vol. 3 ,

Congdon P, Hollis J ( 1979 ) . Demographic projections for the counties of South East England, 1978 . Greater London Council, Research Memorandum vol. 557 ,

Congdon P, Hollis J, Strachan S ( 1979 ) . The 1979 round of demographic projections for Greater London: part II: population projections . Greater London Council, Research Memorandum vol. 563 ,

Congdon P, Hollis J, Strachan S ( 1979 ) . The 1979 round of demographic projections for Greater London: part III; economically active population . Greater London Council, Research Memorandum vol. 564 ,