Skip to main content
Research

Publications: Prof Peter Congdon

Congdon P ( 2022 ) . A spatio-temporal autoregressive model for monitoring and predicting COVID infection rates . Journal of Geographical Systems vol. 24 , ( 4 ) 583 - 610 .
Adin A, Congdon P, Santafé G, Ugarte MD ( 2022 ) . Identifying extreme COVID-19 mortality risks in English small areas: a disease cluster approach . Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment vol. 36 , ( 10 ) 2995 - 3010 .
Congdon P, Amugsi D ( 2022 ) . Editorial: The obesity epidemic: Causes, context, prevention . Frontiers in Public Health vol. 10 ,
Congdon P ( 2022 ) . Measuring Obesogenicity and Assessing Its Impact on Child Obesity: A Cross-Sectional Ecological Study for England Neighbourhoods . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 19 , ( 17 )
Gramatica M, Liverani S, Congdon P ( 2022 ) . Structure induced by a multiple membership transformation on the Conditional Autoregressive model .
Congdon P ( 2022 ) . A Model for Highly Fluctuating Spatio-Temporal Infection Data, with Applications to the COVID Epidemic . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 19 , ( 11 )
Congdon P ( 2021 ) . COVID-19 Mortality in English Neighborhoods: The Relative Role of Socioeconomic and Environmental Factors . J — Multidisciplinary Scientific Journal vol. 4 , ( 2 ) 131 - 146 .
Gramatica M, Liverani S, Congdon P ( 2021 ) . Bayesian modelling for spatially misaligned health areal data: a multiple membership approach . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics
Curtis S, Cunningham N, Pearce J, Congdon P, Cherrie M, Atkinson S ( 2021 ) . Trajectories in mental health and socio-spatial conditions in a time of economic recovery and austerity: A longitudinal study in England 2011–17 . Social Science and Medicine vol. 270 ,
Congdon P ( 2021 ) . Bayesian Modeling of Spatial Data . Handbook of Regional Science ,
Congdon P ( 2021 ) . Mid-Epidemic Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths: A Bivariate Model Applied to the UK . Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases vol. 2021 ,
Congdon P ( 2020 ) . The Upstream Environment for the Obesity Epidemic . Obesity and Diabetes ,
Congdon P ( 2020 ) . Geographical aspects of recent trends in drugrelated deaths, with a focus on intra-national contextual variation . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 17 , ( 21 ) 1 - 18 .
Congdon P ( 2020 ) . A diabetes risk index for small areas in England . Health and Place vol. 63 ,
Gramatica M, Congdon P, Liverani S ( 2020 ) . Bayesian modelling for spatially misaligned health areal data: a multiple membership approach .
Congdon P ( 2020 ) . Modelling spatially varying coefficients via sparsity priors . Model Assisted Statistics and Applications vol. 15 , ( 2 ) 99 - 109 .
Congdon P ( 2020 ) . Assessing persistence in spatial clustering of disease, with an application to drug related deaths in scottish neighbourhoods . Epidemiology Biostatistics and Public Health vol. 16 , ( 4 )
Curtis S, Congdon P, Atkinson S, Corcoran R, MaGuire R, Peasgood T ( 2020 ) . Adverse conditions for wellbeing at the neighbourhood scale in England: Potential and challenges for operationalising indicators relevant to wellbeing in and of places . Wellbeing, Space and Society vol. 1 ,
Baptista H, Congdon P, Mendes JM, Rodrigues AM, Canhão H, Dias SS ( 2020 ) . Disease mapping models for data with weak spatial dependence or spatial discontinuities . Epidemiologic Methods vol. 9 , ( 1 )
Bagheri N, Batterham PJ, Salvador-Carulla L, Chen Y, Page A, Calear AL, Congdon P ( 2019 ) . Development of the Australian neighborhood social fragmentation index and its association with spatial variation in depression across communities . Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology vol. 54 , ( 10 ) 1189 - 1198 .
Congdon P ( 2019 ) . Geographical patterns in drug-related mortality and suicide: Investigating commonalities in english small areas . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 16 , ( 10 )
Congdon P ( 2019 ) . Bayesian Modeling of Spatial Data . Handbook of Regional Science ,
Congdon P ( 2019 ) . Obesity and urban environments . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 16 , ( 3 )
Congdon P ( 2018 ) . Spatial heterogeneity in Bayesian disease mapping . GeoJournal
Zhao JH, Luan J, Congdon P ( 2018 ) . Bayesian linear mixed models with polygenic effects . Journal of Statistical Software vol. 85 ,
Congdon P ( 2017 ) . Quantile regression for overdispersed count data: a hierarchical method . Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications vol. 4 , ( 1 )
Congdon P ( 2017 ) . Variations in Obesity Rates between US Counties: Impacts of Activity Access, Food Environments, and Settlement Patterns . Int J Environ Res Public Health vol. 14 , ( 9 ) Article E1023 ,
Jonker MF, D'Ippolito E, Eikemo TA, Congdon PD, Nante N, Mackenbach JP, Kamphuis CBM ( 2017 ) . The effect of regional politics on regional life expectancy in Italy (1980-2010) . Scand J Public Health vol. 45 , ( 2 ) 121 - 131 .
Congdon P ( 2017 ) . Representing spatial dependence and spatial discontinuity in ecological epidemiology: a scale mixture approach . Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment vol. 31 , ( 2 ) 291 - 304 .
Congdon P ( 2017 ) . Lyle D. Broemeling. BAYESIAN METHODS FOR REPEATED MEASURES. Boca Raton: Chapman & Hall/CRC Press, 568 pages, ISBN 978-1-4822-4819-7 . Biometrical Journal
Congdon P ( 2016 ) . Spatiotemporal frameworks for infectious disease diffusion and epidemiology . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 13 , ( 12 )
Congdon P ( 2016 ) . Assessing Impacts on Unplanned Hospitalisations of Care Quality and Access Using a Structural Equation Method: With a Case Study of Diabetes . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health vol. 13 , ( 9 )
Congdon P ( 2016 ) . A local join counts methodology for spatial clustering in disease from relative risk models . Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods vol. 45 , ( 10 ) 3059 - 3075 .
Schofield P, Das-Munshi J, Mathur R, Congdon P, Hull S ( 2016 ) . Does depression diagnosis and antidepressant prescribing vary by location? Analysis of ethnic density associations using a large primary-care dataset . Psychological Medicine vol. 46 , ( 6 ) 1321 - 1329 .
Congdon P ( 2016 ) . Explaining variations in obesity and inactivity between US metropolitan areas . GeoJournal vol. 81 , ( 2 ) 211 - 229 .
Congdon P ( 2016 ) . Area variations in multiple morbidity using a life table methodology . Health Serv Outcomes Res Methodol vol. 16 , 58 - 74 .
Congdon P ( 2015 ) . Spatial variation in attributable risks . Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology vol. 12 , Article C , 39 - 52 .
Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Modelling changes in small area disability free life expectancy: trends in London wards between 2001 and 2011 . Stat Med vol. 33 , ( 29 ) 5138 - 5150 .
Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Modelling changes in Arctic Sea Ice Cover: an application of generalized and inflated beta and gamma densities . Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications vol. 1 , ( 1 )
Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Bayesian Statistics in Quantitative Risk Assessment . Wiley StatsRef: Statistics Reference Online ,
Andreon S, Congdon P ( 2014 ) . The insignificant evolution of the richness-mass relation of galaxy clusters . ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS vol. 568 , Article ARTN A23 ,
Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Applied Bayesian Modelling: Second Edition .
Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Interpolation between spatial frameworks: an application of process convolution to estimating neighbourhood disease prevalence . Stat Methods Med Res vol. 23 , ( 2 ) 169 - 182 .
Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Estimating Life Expectancy in Small Areas, with an Application to Recent Changes in Life Expectancy in US Counties . Mortality in an International Perspective , Editors: Anson, J, Luy, M , Springer Science & Business Media
Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Bayesian spatial statistical modeling . Handbook of Regional Science ,
Congdon P ( 2014 ) . Estimating life expectancies for US small areas: a regression framework . JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SYSTEMS vol. 16 , ( 1 ) 1 - 18 .
Congdon P ( 2013 ) . Spatially interpolated disease prevalence estimation using collateral indicators of morbidity and ecological risk . Int J Environ Res Public Health vol. 10 , ( 10 ) 5011 - 5025 .
Jonker MF, Congdon PD, van Lenthe FJ, Donkers B, Burdorf A, Mackenbach JP ( 2013 ) . Small-area health comparisons using health-adjusted life expectancies: A Bayesian random-effects approach . HEALTH & PLACE vol. 23 , 70 - 78 .
Congdon P ( 2013 ) . Modelling small-area inequality in premature mortality using years of life lost rates . JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SYSTEMS vol. 15 , ( 2 ) 149 - 167 .
Congdon P ( 2013 ) . Forecasting demand for regional health care . International Series in Operations Research and Management Science , vol. 206 ,
Jonker MF, van Lenthe FJ, Donkers B, Congdon PD, Burdorf A, Mackenbach JP ( 2013 ) . The impact of nursing homes on small-area life expectancies . HEALTH & PLACE vol. 19 , 25 - 32 .
Congdon P ( 2012 ) . Assessing the impact of socioeconomic variables on small area variations in suicide outcomes in England . Int J Environ Res Public Health vol. 10 , ( 1 ) 158 - 177 .
Congdon P ( 2012 ) . Latent variable model for suicide risk in relation to social capital and socio-economic status . Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol vol. 47 , ( 8 ) 1205 - 1219 .
Jonker MF, van Lenthe FJ, CONGDON PD, Donkers B, Burdorf A, Mackenbach JP ( 2012 ) . Comparison of Bayesian Random-Effects and Traditional Life Expectancy Estimations in Small-Area Applications . American Journal of Epidemiology vol. 176 , ( 10 ) 929 - 937 .
Congdon P ( 2012 ) . Spatial Health Factors with Selection Among Multiple Causes: Lung Cancer in US Counties . COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-THEORY AND METHODS vol. 41 , ( 11 ) 1933 - 1953 .
Congdon P ( 2011 ) . The Spatial Pattern of Suicide in the US in Relation to Deprivation, Fragmentation and Rurality . URBAN STUD vol. 48 , ( 10 ) 2101 - 2122 .
Congdon P ( 2011 ) . Spatial path models with multiple indicators and multiple causes: mental health in US counties . Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol vol. 2 , ( 2 ) 103 - 116 .
CONGDON P ( 2011 ) . A spatial random-effects model for interzone flows: commuting in Northern Ireland . Journal of Applied Statistics
Congdon P ( 2011 ) . Explaining the Spatial Pattern of Suicide and Self-Harm Rates: A Case Study of East and South East England . APPLIED SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND POLICY vol. 4 , ( 1 ) 23 - 43 .
Congdon P, Lloyd P ( 2011 ) . Toxocara infection in the United States: the relevance of poverty, geography and demography as risk factors, and implications for estimating county prevalence . Int J Public Health vol. 56 , ( 1 ) 15 - 24 .
Congdon P ( 2011 ) . Structural equation models for area health outcomes with model selection . J APPL STAT vol. 38 , ( 4 ) 745 - 767 .
Congdon P ( 2010 ) . A multiple indicator, multiple cause method for representing social capital with an application to psychological distress . J GEOGR SYST vol. 12 , ( 1 ) 1 - 23 .
Congdon P ( 2010 ) . A Multilevel Model for Comorbid Outcomes: Obesity and Diabetes in the US . INT J ENV RES PUB HE vol. 7 , ( 2 ) 333 - 352 .
Congdon P ( 2010 ) . A spatial structural equation model with an application to area health needs . J STAT COMPUT SIM vol. 80 , ( 4 ) 401 - 412 .
Congdon PD ( 2010 ) . Applied bayesian hierarchical methods .
Congdon P ( 2010 ) . Assessing Differential Area Mortality Trends via Bayesian Random Effects . COMMUN STAT-THEOR M vol. 39 , ( 12 ) 2205 - 2230 .
Congdon P ( 2010 ) . Estimating Prevalence of Coronary Heart Disease for Small Areas Using Collateral Indicators of Morbidity . INT J ENV RES PUB HE vol. 7 , ( 1 ) 164 - 177 .
CONGDON P ( 2010 ) . Random-effects models for migration attractivity and retentivity: a Bayesian methodology . vol. 173 , ( 4 ) 755 - 774 .
Congdon P ( 2010 ) . Random-effects models for migration attractivity and retentivity: a Bayesian methodology . J R STAT SOC A STAT vol. 173 , 755 - 774 .
Munk K, Congdon P, Macdonald W ( 2009 ) . Age-related differences in insurance claim rates for work-related injuries and diseases for different occupations and industry sectors . Promotion of Work Ability Towards Productive Aging - Selected Papers of the 3rd International Symposium on Work Ability . 331 - 341 .
Munk K, Congdon P, Macdonald W ( 2009 ) . Age-related differences in patterns of return to work and compensation costs following work-related injury or illness . Promotion of Work Ability Towards Productive Aging - Selected Papers of the 3rd International Symposium on Work Ability . 343 - 353 .
Congdon P ( 2009 ) . Adaptive autoregressive priors for area and time structured mortality data . J STAT PLAN INFER vol. 139 , ( 9 ) 2870 - 2884 .
Congdon P, Lloyd P ( 2009 ) . Toxocara Infection in the United States: The Relevance of Poverty, Geography and Demography as Risk Factors and Implications for Estimating County Prevalence . Annals of Epidemiology vol. 19 , ( 9 )
Congdon P ( 2009 ) . Life Expectancies for Small Areas: A Bayesian Random Effects Methodology . INT STAT REV vol. 77 , ( 2 ) 222 - 240 .
Congdon P ( 2009 ) . Modelling the impact of socioeconomic structure on spatial health outcomes . COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 53 , ( 8 ) 3047 - 3056 .
LeSage J, Banerjee S, Fischer MM, Congdon P ( 2009 ) . Spatial statistics: Methods, models & computation . Computational Statistics and Data Analysis vol. 53 , ( 8 ) 2781 - 2785 .
Curtis S, Congdon P, Almog M, Ellermann R ( 2009 ) . County variation in use of inpatient and ambulatory psychiatric care in New York State 1999-2001: Need and supply influences in a structural model . HEALTH PLACE vol. 15 , ( 2 ) 568 - 577 .
Congdon P ( 2009 ) . A multilevel model for cardiovascular disease prevalence in the US and its application to micro area prevalence estimates . Int J Health Geogr vol. 8 ,
Washington S, Congdon P, Karlaftis MG, Mannering FL ( 2009 ) . Bayesian Multinomial Logit Theory and Route Choice Example . TRANSP RES RECORD ( 2136 ) 28 - 36 .
Congdon P ( 2008 ) . A spatially adaptive conditional autoregressive prior for area health data . Statistical Methodology vol. 5 , ( 6 ) 552 - 563 .
Congdon P ( 2008 ) . The need for psychiatric care in England: a spatial factor methodology . J GEOGR SYST vol. 10 , ( 3 ) 217 - 239 .
Congdon P ( 2008 ) . Bayesian Statistics in Quantitative Risk Assessment . Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment ,
Congdon P ( 2008 ) . A spatial structural equation model for health outcomes . J STAT PLAN INFER vol. 138 , ( 7 ) 2090 - 2105 .
Fagg J, Curtis S, Clark C, Congdon P, Stansfeld SA ( 2008 ) . Neighbourhood perceptions among inner-city adolescents: Relationships with their individual characteristics and with independently assessed neighbourhood conditions . Journal of Environmental Psychology vol. 28 , ( 2 ) 128 - 142 .
Congdon P ( 2008 ) . A bivariate frailty model for events with a permanent survivor fraction and non-monotonic hazards; with an application to age at first maternity . COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 52 , ( 9 ) 4346 - 4356 .
Congdon P ( 2008 ) . Estimating CHD prevalence by small area: integrating information from health surveys and area mortality . Health Place vol. 14 , ( 1 ) 59 - 75 .
Congdon P ( 2008 ) . Models for Migration Age Schedules: A Bayesian Perspective with an Application to Flows between Scotland and England . International Migration in Europe: Data, Models and Estimates ,
CONGDON P ( 2008 ) . Indirect area estimates of disease prevalence: Bayesian evidence synthesis with an application to CHD . Journal of Data Science vol. 6 , ( 1 ) 15 - 32 .
Congdon P, Almog M, Curtis S, Ellerman R ( 2007 ) . A spatial structural equation modelling framework for health count responses . Stat Med vol. 26 , ( 29 ) 5267 - 5284 .
Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Frees, E. (2004). Longitudinal and panel data. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 467+viii pages. US$ 39.99. ISBN: 0-521-53538-7 . Psychometrika vol. 72 , ( 4 ) 653 - 653 .
Ghosh S, Das K, Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Analysis of marginally specified semi-nonparametric models for clustered binary data . Statistica Neerlandica vol. 61 , ( 3 ) 292 - 304 .
Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Bayesian statistical modelling: Second edition .
Congdon P ( 2007 ) . A model for spatial variations in life expectancy; mortality in Chinese regions in 2000 . INT J HEALTH GEOGR vol. 6 , Article 16 ,
Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Model weights for model choice and averaging . Statistical Methodology vol. 4 , ( 2 ) 143 - 157 .
Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Mixtures of spatial and unstructured effects for spatially discontinuous health outcomes . COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 51 , ( 6 ) 3197 - 3212 .
Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Bayesian modelling strategies for spatially varying regression coefficients: A multivariate perspective for multiple outcomes . COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 51 , ( 5 ) 2586 - 2601 .
Congdon P ( 2007 ) . Gaussian Markov random fields: Theory and applications . J ROY STAT SOC A STA vol. 170 , 858 - 858 .
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Estimating population prevalence of psychiatric conditions by small area with applications to analysing outcome and referral variations . HEALTH PLACE vol. 12 , ( 4 ) 465 - 478 .
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Modelling multiple hospital outcomes: the impact of small area and primary care practice variation . Int J Health Geogr vol. 5 ,
Fagg J, Curtis S, Stansfeld S, Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Psychological distress among adolescents, and its relationship to individual, family and area characteristics in East London . Soc Sci Med vol. 63 , ( 3 ) 636 - 648 .
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . A model for geographical variation in health and total life expectancy . DEMOGR RES vol. 14 , 157 - 178 .
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . A model framework for mortality and health data classified by age, area, and time . BIOMETRICS vol. 62 , ( 1 ) 269 - 278 .
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Estimating diabetes prevalence by small area in England . J PUBLIC HEALTH vol. 28 , ( 1 ) 71 - 81 .
Curtis S, Copeland A, Fagg J, Congdon P, Almog M, Fitzpatrick J ( 2006 ) . The ecological relationship between deprivation, social isolation and rates of hospital admission for acute psychiatric care: a comparison of London and New York City . Health Place vol. 12 , ( 1 ) 19 - 37 .
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Bayesian model comparison via parallel model output . J STAT COMPUT SIM vol. 76 , ( 2 ) 149 - 165 .
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . A model for non-parametric spatially varying regression effects . COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 50 , ( 2 ) 422 - 445 .
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Bayesian model choice based on Monte Carlo estimates of posterior model probabilities . COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 50 , ( 2 ) 346 - 357 .
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Discrete Spatial Data . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Further Questions in Binomial and Count Regression . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Hierarchical and Panel Data Models . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Missing‐Data Models . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Model Comparison and Choice . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Models for Binary and Count Outcomes . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Ordinal Regression . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Principles of Bayesian Inference . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Random Effect and Latent Variable Models for Multicategory Outcomes . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Regression for Metric Outcomes . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Time Series Models for Discrete Variables . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,
CONGDON PD ( 2006 ) . A spatio-remporal forecasting approach for health indicators . Journal of Data Science vol. 5 ,
CONGDON P ( 2006 ) . Bayesian Statistical Modelling . Wiley ( Chichester ),
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Forecasting Demand for Regional Healthcare . Patient Flow: Reducing Delay in Healthcare Delivery , vol. 91 ,
CONGDON PD ( 2006 ) . Forecasting Regional Demand for Acute Health Care . Delay Management in Health Care Systems , Springer
Congdon P ( 2006 ) . Forecasting demand for regional healthcare . International Series in Operations Research and Management Science , vol. 91 ,
Congdon P, Clarke T ( 2005 ) . Assessing intervention effects in a community-based trial to reduce self-harm: A methodological case study . PUBLIC HEALTH vol. 119 , ( 11 ) 1011 - 1015 .
Chapman J, Congdon P, Shaw S, Carter YH ( 2005 ) . The geographical distribution of specialists in public health in the United Kingdom: is capacity related to need? . Public Health vol. 119 , ( 7 ) 639 - 646 .
Congdon P ( 2005 ) . Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics . Bayesian Models for Categorical Data ,
Congdon P ( 2005 ) . Markov Chain Monte Carlo and Bayesian Statistics . Encyclopedia of Statistics in Behavioral Science ,
Congdon P ( 2005 ) . Bayesian predictive model comparison via parallel sampling . COMPUT STAT DATA AN vol. 48 , ( 4 ) 735 - 753 .
CONGDON P ( 2005 ) . Bayesian Methods for Categorical Data . Wiley ( Chichester ),
CONGDON PD ( 2005 ) . MCMC and Bayesian Methods . Encyclopedia of Statistics in the Behavioural Sciences , Wiley
Chapman J, Shaw S, Congdon P, Carter YH, Abbott S, Petchey R ( 2005 ) . Specialist public health capacity in England: working in the new primary care organizations . PUBLIC HEALTH vol. 119 , ( 1 ) 22 - 31 .
Congdon P, Southall H ( 2005 ) . Trends in inequality in infant mortality in the North of England, 1921-1973, and their association with urban and social structure . J R STAT SOC A STAT vol. 168 , 679 - 700 .
Congdon P, Southall H ( 2004 ) . Small area variations in infant mortality in England and Wales in the inter-war period and their link with socio-economic factors . HEALTH PLACE vol. 10 , ( 4 ) 363 - 382 .
Congdon P ( 2004 ) . Commentary: Contextual effects: index construction and technique . INT J EPIDEMIOL vol. 33 , ( 4 ) 741 - 742 .
Congdon P ( 2004 ) . A multivariate model for spatio-temporal health outcomes with an application to suicide mortality . GEOGR ANAL vol. 36 , ( 3 ) 234 - 258 .
Almog M, Curtis S, Copeland A, Congdon P ( 2004 ) . Geographical variation in acute psychiatric admissions within New York City 1990-2000: growing inequalities in service use? . SOC SCI MED vol. 59 , ( 2 ) 361 - 376 .
Congdon P ( 2004 ) . Modelling trends and inequality in small area mortality . J APPL STAT vol. 31 , ( 6 ) 603 - 622 .
Curtis S, Southall H, Congdon P, Dodgeon B ( 2004 ) . Area effects on health variation over the life-course: analysis of the longitudinal study sample in England using new data on area of residence in childhood . Soc Sci Med vol. 58 , ( 1 ) 57 - 74 .
CONGDON PD ( 2004 ) . Contextual Effects: index construction and technique . International Journal of Epidemiology. vol. 33 , 741 - 742 .
Curtis S, Stansfeld S, CONGDON PD, Fagg J ( 2004 ) . Neighbourhood influences on adolesecent health in East London . Featuring the Quality of Urban Life in Contemporary Cities of Eastern and Western Europe , Editors: Sagan, I, Czepczinski, ME , Bogucki Wydawnictwo Naukowe ( Gdansk-Poznan ),
CONGDON P ( 2003 ) . Applied Bayesian models . J. Wiley ( Chichester ),
CONGDON PD ( 2003 ) . Modelling Spatially Varying Impacts of Socio Economic Predictors on Mortality Outcomes . Journal of Geographical Systems. vol. 5 , 161 - 184 .
Congdon P ( 2002 ) . A model for mental health needs and resourcing in small geographic areas: A multivariate spatial perspective . GEOGR ANAL vol. 34 , ( 2 ) 168 - 186 .
CONGDON PD ( 2002 ) . A life table approach to small area health need profiling . Statistical Modelling. vol. 2 , 63 - 88 .
Congdon P ( 2001 ) . The development of gravity models for hospital patient flows under system change: a Bayesian modelling approach . Health Care Manag Sci vol. 4 , ( 4 ) 289 - 304 .
Congdon P ( 2001 ) . Health status and healthy life measures for population health need assessment: modelling variability and uncertainty . HEALTH PLACE vol. 7 , ( 1 ) 13 - 25 .
Congdon P ( 2001 ) . Predicting adverse infant health outcomes using routine screening variables: modelling the impact of interdependent risk factors . JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS vol. 28 , ( 2 ) 183 - 197 .
CONGDON PD, Jones IR, Gregory IN, Campos R, Curtis S, Southall HR ( 2001 ) . Quantifying and explaining changes in geographical inequality of infant mortality in England and Wales since the 1890s . International Journal of Population Geography vol. 7 , ( 1 ) 35 - 51 .
CONGDON P ( 2001 ) . Bayesian Statistical Modelling . Wiley ( Chichester ),
Congdon P ( 2000 ) . Monitoring suicide mortality: A bayesian approach . European Journal of Population vol. 16 , ( 3 ) 251 - 284 .
Congdon P ( 2000 ) . A Bayesian approach to prediction using the gravity model, with an application to patient flow modeling . Geographical Analysis vol. 32 , ( 3 ) 205 - 224 .
Fowler RW, Congdon P, Hamilton S ( 2000 ) . Assessing health status and outcomes in a geriatric day hospital . Public Health vol. 114 , ( 6 ) 440 - 445 .
Congdon P, Best N ( 2000 ) . Small area variation in hospital admission rates: Bayesian adjustment for primary care and hospital factors . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics vol. 49 , ( 2 ) 207 - 226 .
Camilli G, Congdon P ( 1999 ) . Application of a Method of Estimating DIF for Polytomous Test Items . Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics vol. 24 , ( 4 ) 323 - 341 .
Congdon P ( 1999 ) . Primary care needs assessment and resourcing: Complementary practice and geographic perspectives . Health and Place vol. 5 , ( 1 ) 59 - 82 .
Congdon P, Smith A, Dean C ( 1998 ) . Assessing psychiatric morbidity from community registers: Methods for Bayesian adjustment . Urban Studies vol. 35 , ( 12 ) 2323 - 2352 .
Congdon P ( 1998 ) . A multilevel model for infant health outcomes: Maternal risk factors and geographic variation . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series D: The Statistician vol. 47 , ( 1 ) 159 - 182 .
Congdon P, Shouls S, Curtis S ( 1997 ) . A multi-level perspective on small-area health and mortality: a case study of England and Wales . International Journal of Population Geography vol. 3 , ( 3 ) 243 - 263 .
Congdon P ( 1997 ) . Bayesian models for spatial incidence: A case study of suicide using the BUGS program . Health and Place vol. 3 , ( 4 ) 229 - 247 .
Congdon P ( 1997 ) . Multilevel and Clustering Analysis of Health Outcomes in Small Areas . European Journal of Population vol. 13 , ( 4 ) 305 - 338 .
Congdon P ( 1997 ) . Suicide risk in London: An examination of changing trends in the 1980s and 1990s . London Journal vol. 22 , ( 2 ) 160 - 174 .
Congdon P ( 1996 ) . General linear gravity models for the impact of casualty unit closures . Urban Studies vol. 33 , ( 9 ) 1707 - 1728 .
Shouls S, Congdon P, Curtis S ( 1996 ) . Geographic variation in illness and mortality: The development of a relevant area typology for SAR districts . Health and Place vol. 2 , ( 3 ) 139 - 155 .
Hamilton S, Congdon P, Fowler RW ( 1996 ) . Measuring outcomes of care in a day hospital setting . Elderly care vol. 8 , ( 3 ) 14 - 17 .
Shouls S, Congdon P, Curtis S ( 1996 ) . Modelling inequality in reported long term illness in the UK: Combining individual and area characteristics . Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health vol. 50 , ( 3 ) 366 - 376 .
Congdon P ( 1996 ) . Suicide and parasuicide in London: A small-area study . Urban Studies vol. 33 , ( 1 ) 137 - 158 .
Congdon P ( 1996 ) . The epidemiology of suicide in London . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society vol. 159 , ( 3 ) 515 - 533 .
Congdon P ( 1995 ) . Life table analysis for areas using vital register data . European Journal of Population vol. 11 , ( 4 ) 343 - 369 .
Congdon P ( 1995 ) . The Impact of Area Context on Long Term Illness and Premature Mortality: An Illustration of Multi-level Analysis . Regional Studies vol. 29 , ( 4 ) 327 - 344 .
Congdon P ( 1995 ) . Localities for Epidemiological Monitoring and Health Policy . Urban Studies vol. 32 , ( 7 ) 1175 - 1198 .
Congdon P ( 1995 ) . Micro- and Aggregate Perspectives on Life Table Heterogeneity: An Empirical Investigation of Area Mortality . Social Science Research vol. 24 , ( 2 ) 136 - 166 .
Congdon P ( 1995 ) . Modelling frailty in area mortality . Statistics in Medicine vol. 14 , ( 17 ) 1859 - 1874 .
Congdon P ( 1995 ) . Socio-economic Structure and Health in London . Urban Studies vol. 32 , ( 3 ) 523 - 549 .
CONGDON P ( 1994 ) . INNOVATION AND URBAN-POPULATION DYNAMICS - STROHMEIER,KP, MATTHIESSEN,CW . REGIONAL STUDIES vol. 28 , ( 2 ) 228 - 228 .
Congdon P ( 1994 ) . Analysing Mortality in London: Life‐Tables with Frailty . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series D (The Statistician) vol. 43 , ( 2 ) 277 - 308 .
Congdon P ( 1994 ) . Spatiotemporal Analysis of Area Mortality . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series D (The Statistician) vol. 43 , ( 4 ) 513 - 528 .
Congdon P ( 1993 ) . Book Review: Urban Structure and the Labour Market: Worker Mobility, Commuting, and Underemployment . Urban Studies vol. 30 , ( 6 ) 1087 - 1089 .
Congdon P ( 1993 ) . Approaches to modelling overdispersion in the analysis of migration . Environment & Planning A vol. 25 , ( 10 ) 1481 - 1510 .
Congdon P ( 1993 ) . Statistical graduation in local demographic analysis and projection . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) vol. 156 , ( 2 ) 237 - 270 .
GORDON I ( 1992 ) . MIGRATION AND LABOR-MARKET ADJUSTMENT - VANDIJK,J, FOLMER,H, HERZOG,HW, SCHLOTTMANN,AM . ENVIRONMENT AND PLANNING A vol. 24 , ( 6 ) 904 - 905 .
CONGDON P, MCCALLUM I ( 1992 ) . A DEMO-EDUCATIONAL MODEL FOR FORECASTING SCHOOL ROLLS FOR LOCALITIES . JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES D-THE STATISTICIAN vol. 41 , ( 5 ) 573 - 590 .
Congdon P ( 1992 ) . Aspects of general linear modelling of migration . Statistician vol. 41 , ( 2 ) 133 - 153 .
Congdon P ( 1992 ) . Multiregional Demographic Projections in Practice: A Metropolitan Example . Regional Studies vol. 26 , ( 2 ) 177 - 191 .
Congdon P, Thomas R ( 1991 ) . Introduction: Spatial statistics and modeling . Papers in Regional Science vol. 70 , ( 3 ) 221 - 222 .
Congdon P ( 1991 ) . Spatiotemporal models for small-area social indicators . Papers in Regional Science vol. 70 , ( 3 ) 243 - 265 .
Congdon P ( 1991 ) . The outer suburbs and metropolitan social change: a case study of London . Espace-Populations-Societes vol. 1991-2 , 381 - 394 .
Congdon P ( 1990 ) . Graduation of Fertility Schedules: An Analysis of Fertility Patterns in London in the 1980s and an Application to Fertility Forecasts . Regional Studies vol. 24 , ( 4 ) 311 - 326 .
Congdon P ( 1990 ) . Issues in the analysis of small area mortality . Urban Studies vol. 27 , ( 4 ) 519 - 536 .
Shepherd J, Congdon P ( 1990 ) . Small town England: Population change among small to medium sized urban areas, 1971-81 . Progress in Planning vol. 33 , ( PART 1 ) 1 - 111 .
Congdon P ( 1990 ) . The analysis of small area social change . Progress in Planning vol. 34 , ( PART 3 ) 191 - 290 .
Congdon P ( 1989 ) . Modelling Migration Flows between Areas: An Analysis for London Using the Census and OPCS Longitudinal Study . Regional Studies vol. 23 , ( 2 ) 87 - 103 .
Congdon P, Batey P ( 1989 ) . Advances in regional demography: information, forecasts, models . Advances in regional demography: information, forecasts, models
Congdon P ( 1989 ) . An analysis of population and social change in London wards in the 1980s . Transactions - Institute of British Geographers vol. 14 , ( 4 ) 478 - 491 .
Congdon P ( 1989 ) . Fertility forecasts and structural interpretations: an application to London and England and Wales . Espace-Populations-Societes vol. 89 , ( 2 ) 177 - 188 .
Congdon P ( 1989 ) . Gender and space in London in the 1980s . Espace-Populations-Societes vol. 89 , ( 1 ) 27 - 42 .
Breheny M, Congdon P ( 1989 ) . Growth and change in a core region: the case of South East England . Growth and change in a core region: the case of South East England
Congdon P, Champion A ( 1989 ) . Recent population shifts in South East England and their relevance to the counterurbanisation debate . Growth and change in a core region: the case of SE England106 - 129 .
Congdon P, Champion T ( 1989 ) . Trends and structure in London's migration and their relation to employment and housing markets . Advances in regional demography180 - 204 .
Congdon P ( 1988 ) . The Interdependence of Geographical Migration with Job and Housing Mobility in London . Regional Studies vol. 22 , ( 2 ) 81 - 93 .
Congdon P, Shepherd J ( 1988 ) . Components of social change in urban areas . Urban Studies vol. 25 , ( 3 ) 173 - 189 .
Congdon P ( 1988 ) . Deprivation in London wards: mortality and unemployment trends in the 1980's . Statistician vol. 37 , ( 4-5 ) 451 - 472 .
Congdon P ( 1988 ) . OCCUPATIONAL MOBILITY and LABOUR MARKET STRUCTURE: A MULTIVARIATE MARKOV MODEL . Scottish Journal of Political Economy vol. 35 , ( 3 ) 208 - 226 .
Congdon P ( 1988 ) . Population estimates and forecasts for wards in Greater London . London Research Centre - Statistical Series vol. 63 ,
Congdon P ( 1988 ) . Trends and patterns in London migration in the 1980s . London Research Centre - Reviews & Studies Series vol. 37 ,
Congdon P ( 1987 ) . A map profile of ( population) change in London wards . London Research Centre - Statistical Series vol. 61 ,
Champion T, Congdon P ( 1987 ) . An analysis of the recovery of London's population change rate . Built Environment vol. 13 , ( 4 ) 193 - 211 .
Congdon P ( 1986 ) . Forecasting fertility rates for Greater London . London Research Centre - Statistical Series vol. 58 ,
Congdon P, Shepherd J ( 1986 ) . Modelling population changes in small English urban areas . Environment & Planning A vol. 18 , ( 10 ) 1297 - 1322 .
Congdon P ( 1985 ) . HETEROGENEITY AND TIMING EFFECTS IN OCCUPATIONAL MOBILITY: A GENERAL MODEL . Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics vol. 47 , ( 4 ) 347 - 369 .
CONGDON P, SHEPHERD J ( 1985 ) . SMALL-AREA SOCIAL-CHANGE IN GREATER LONDON - A REGRESSION APPROACH TO MEASUREMENT . JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL MEASUREMENT vol. 13 , ( 1 ) 49 - 67 .
Congdon P ( 1984 ) . Social structure and change in London wards: evidence from the 1971 and 1981 Censuses . Statistical Series - Greater London Council vol. 38 ,
Congdon P ( 1983 ) . A Model for the Interaction of Migration and Commuting . Urban Studies vol. 20 , ( 2 ) 185 - 195 .
Congdon P ( 1983 ) . A map profile of Greater London in 1981 ( Gimms procedure) . Greater London Council, Statistical Series vol. 23 ,
Gilje E, Hollis J, Hodgson M, Congdon P ( 1983 ) . Demographic review of Greater London 1983 . Greater London Council, Statistical Series vol. 20 ,
Shepherd J, Ryan L, Congdon P ( 1983 ) . Londoners are moving out . Geographical Magazine vol. 54 , ( 12 ) 669 - 673 .
Congdon P ( 1982 ) . Social and economic characteristics of London wards, 1978 . Greater London Council, Statistical Series vol. 15 ,
Congdon P, Hollis J, Strachan S ( 1981 ) . The 1981 round of demographic projections for Greater London. Part 1: population . The 1981 round of demographic projections for Greater London. Part 1: population.
Congdon P, Hollis J, Strachan S ( 1981 ) . The 1981 round of demographic projections for Greater London. Part 2: economically active population and households . The 1981 round of demographic projections for Greater London. Part 2: economically active population and households.
Congdon P, Hollis J, Strachan S ( 1981 ) . The 1981 round of demographic projections for Greater London. Part 3: appendix-projection using preliminary 1981 census data . Greater London Council, Statistical Series vol. 8 ,
Congdon P ( 1980 ) . Forecasting births in Greater London: An application of the easterlin hypothesis . Population Studies vol. 34 , ( 2 ) 267 - 278 .
Hollis J, Congdon P ( 1980 ) . The 1980 round of demographic projections for Greater London. Part 1: population . Greater London Council, Statistical Series vol. 2 ,
Hollis J, Congdon P ( 1980 ) . The 1980 round of demographic projections for Greater London. Part 2.: economically active population and households ( UK) . Greater London Council, Statistical Series vol. 3 ,
Congdon P, Hollis J ( 1979 ) . Demographic projections for the counties of South East England, 1978 . Greater London Council, Research Memorandum vol. 557 ,
Congdon P, Hollis J, Strachan S ( 1979 ) . The 1979 round of demographic projections for Greater London: part II: population projections . Greater London Council, Research Memorandum vol. 563 ,
Congdon P, Hollis J, Strachan S ( 1979 ) . The 1979 round of demographic projections for Greater London: part III; economically active population . Greater London Council, Research Memorandum vol. 564 ,